Message-ID: <15307805.1075856321542.JavaMail.evans@thyme>
Date: Mon, 19 Jun 2000 05:27:00 -0700 (PDT)
From: vince.kaminski@enron.com
To: john.nowlan@enron.com, scott.tholan@enron.com, robert.johnston@enron.com, 
	greg.whalley@enron.com
Subject: Iraq and Crude Output
Cc: vince.kaminski@enron.com
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An interesting piece of information from the oil markets. 
Iraq is trying to extract concessions from the US and threatens to shut down
production as of Oct 1 (just in time for the US elections).

The source of this info is Phil Verlaeger (an oil analyst).
He is very good but excessively concerned with Iraqi machinations.
He is the source of news (reported by Friedman of the New York Times in
his op-ed columns) about massive Iraqi trading in the
oil futures markets. I personally discount this info: the volume and 
transparency of
the oil markets  would not support this type of huge scale operations by 
Saddam's
government. There may be some trading by Iraqi officials on the side.

Vince